Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: game postponement due to weather
Calibrated 100% · raw 3250% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/27/2026, 7:15:26 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 23% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
18%
Signal Score
-32.5
Opportunity
24.4
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV -3250.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
8
Price history
3 points
In the upcoming MLB game between the Houston Astros and Detroit Tigers, scheduled for June 27 at 1:10 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Detroit Tigers" if the Detroit Tigers win the game by 3 or more runs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Houston Astros". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Houston Astros". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The Detroit Tigers have a 17.5% chance to win by 3+ runs against the Houston Astros in their June 27 matchup, indicating a low probability outcome based on predicted run differential. The market favors the Astros, reflecting their stronger overall performance and likely starting pitcher advantages.
The Tigers could overcome the spread if their offense outperforms expectations, particularly against a weaker Astros pitcher, and their bullpen limits late-game damage. A high-scoring game with Detroit scoring 6+ runs while holding Houston to 3 or fewer would satisfy the condition.
The Astros are favored due to superior pitching depth and offensive consistency, making a 3+ run Tigers win unlikely. Weather conditions, umpire bias, or unexpected injuries could shift outcomes, but the market suggests these factors are already priced in.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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