Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: unpredictable player performance in early innings
Calibrated 100% · raw 400% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 7/2/2026, 10:00:38 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 22% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
43%
ORYN Consensus
39%
Signal Score
-4.0
Opportunity
3.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV -400.0¢
Entry: 40-46
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
1
Price history
28 points
In the upcoming MLB game between the Detroit Tigers and Texas Rangers, scheduled for July 2 at 8:05 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Detroit Tigers" if the Detroit Tigers is winning the game at the conclusion of the 5th inning. This market will resolve to "Texas Rangers" if the Texas Rangers is winning the game at the conclusion of the 5th inning. If the game is tied at the conclusion of the 5th inning, this market will resolve to "Draw". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the 5th inning has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market reflects a 39% probability that the Detroit Tigers will be leading after 5 innings in their July 2 MLB game against the Texas Rangers. This suggests a slight underdog position for the Tigers, indicating perceived challenges in early-game performance relative to the Rangers.
The Tigers could leverage strong starting pitching or offensive bursts in the first 5 innings, particularly if key players like Spencer Torkelson or Matt Vierling perform early. A favorable matchup against Texas's bullpen or home-field advantage (if applicable) may also tilt odds in their favor.
The Tigers face a high-power offense in the Rangers, with potential for early scoring from players like Corey Seager or Marcus Semien. Poor starting pitching or defensive lapses could quickly put the Tigers behind, reducing their chances of leading after 5 innings.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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