Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Weather delays could truncate innings or change game conditions
Calibrated 100% · raw 495% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 7/3/2026, 1:46:51 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| omniroute | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 30% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
100%
ORYN Consensus
95%
Signal Score
-5.0
Opportunity
3.2
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
3,179,924
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV -495.0¢
Entry: 97-100
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming MLB game between the Detroit Tigers and Texas Rangers, scheduled for July 2 at 8:05 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the Detroit Tigers and Texas Rangers combine to score 6 or more runs by the conclusion of the 5th inning. If the combined total is less than 6, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the 5th inning has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for Detroit Tigers vs Texas Rangers first 5 innings over/under 5.5 shows a 99.95% probability of the over, implying overwhelming market belief in a high-scoring start. This likely reflects strong offensive projections and favorable conditions. However, such extreme certainty is rare in baseball, warranting caution.
Both teams have potent lineups capable of early scoring. The starting pitchers may have elevated ERAs, and the ballpark conditions could favor hitters. Recent games suggest a trend toward high first-half run totals.
Baseball is inherently unpredictable, and a low-scoring first five innings is always possible. Strong starting pitching performances, a pitcher-friendly umpire zone, or adverse weather could suppress runs. The market may be overpricing the over at 99.95%.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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