Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Injuries to key players
Calibrated 100% · raw 500% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/30/2026, 11:31:00 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 50% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
55%
Signal Score
+5.0
Opportunity
2.9
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,156,842
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 500.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming MLB game between the Detroit Tigers and New York Yankees, scheduled for June 30 at 7:05 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Detroit Tigers" if the Detroit Tigers win the game by 4 or more runs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "New York Yankees". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "New York Yankees". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The Detroit Tigers are favored to win by 4+ runs against the New York Yankees in a one-sided prediction market. Historical performance and team dynamics suggest a slight edge, but volatility in baseball outcomes introduces uncertainty.
The Tigers' strong offensive lineup and pitching depth may outperform expectations, especially if key players (e.g., sluggers or starting pitchers) deliver standout performances. Home-field advantage and recent form could tilt the game in their favor.
The Yankees' elite offense and consistent bullpen could neutralize the Tigers' advantage, leading to a closer-than-expected game. Injuries, unexpected pitching struggles, or defensive lapses may undermine the Tigers' chances of covering the spread.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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