Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Pitcher-specific matchup (e.g., Cole's ground-ball tendencies)
Calibrated 100% · raw 200% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/29/2026, 7:06:37 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
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ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
52%
Signal Score
+2.0
Opportunity
1.3
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,470,173
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 200.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
12h
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming MLB game between the Detroit Tigers and New York Yankees, scheduled for June 29 at 7:05 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Spencer Torkelson records more than 1.5 home runs during the game. This market will resolve to "Under" if Spencer Torkelson records less than 1.5 home runs during the game. The entire game including all extra innings will be considered. If the player is listed as inactive or otherwise does not take the field at any point, the market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for Spencer Torkelson's home runs (Over/Under 1.5) in the Detroit Tigers vs. New York Yankees game on June 29 is evenly split at 50%, reflecting high uncertainty due to Torkelson's inconsistent recent performance and the Yankees' strong pitching staff.
Torkelson has shown recent form with multiple home runs in prior games, including a 2-HR performance against the Yankees earlier in the season. If he maintains this momentum, the Over 1.5 market could be favorable, especially if facing a pitcher with a lower strikeout rate or left-handed matchup.
Torkelson's 2024 season averages only 0.5 home runs per game, and the Yankees' rotation features elite strikeout pitchers like Gerrit Cole, who suppress home run opportunities. Additionally, Torkelson has struggled against right-handed pitching this year, reducing the likelihood of a multi-HR game.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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