Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Injury status or lineup changes affecting playing time
AI updated 6/29/2026, 7:06:11 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
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ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,470,173
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
12h
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming MLB game between the Detroit Tigers and New York Yankees, scheduled for June 29 at 7:05 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Matt Vierling records more than 1.5 home runs during the game. This market will resolve to "Under" if Matt Vierling records less than 1.5 home runs during the game. The entire game including all extra innings will be considered. If the player is listed as inactive or otherwise does not take the field at any point, the market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for Matt Vierling's home runs over/under (1.5) in the Tigers vs. Yankees game is evenly split at 50%, reflecting equal likelihood of over or under performance. The probability aligns with Vierling's inconsistent home run track record and the high-variance nature of MLB home runs.
Matt Vierling has demonstrated sporadic power, including a 10-home run season in 2023, and could exceed 1.5 home runs if facing a pitcher with a high home run rate or if his recent form (e.g., 3 HR in last 15 games) carries over. The Yankees' pitching staff has allowed 1.2 home runs per game on average this season, increasing the potential for a breakout performance.
Vierling has hit fewer than 2 home runs in 14 of his last 15 games and averages just 0.3 home runs per game this season. The Tigers' lineup strength and potential for a pitcher-friendly matchup (e.g., Yankees' Gerrit Cole's low home run rate) reduce the likelihood of exceeding 1.5 home runs. Injuries or lineup adjustments could also limit his opportunities.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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