Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Player injury or lineup changes
AI updated 6/29/2026, 7:06:04 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,490,379
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
11h
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming MLB game between the Detroit Tigers and New York Yankees, scheduled for June 29 at 7:05 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Ben Rice records more than 0.5 home runs during the game. This market will resolve to "Under" if Ben Rice records less than 0.5 home runs during the game. The entire game including all extra innings will be considered. If the player is listed as inactive or otherwise does not take the field at any point, the market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
Ben Rice's home runs O/U 0.5 market is at 50% probability, indicating a balanced expectation with no clear lean toward over or under. The neutral probability reflects Rice's inconsistent home run production and the high variability of single-game outcomes.
Rice could exceed 0.5 home runs if he is in a favorable lineup spot or facing a pitcher with a high home run rate. A strong recent trend in home runs (e.g., 2+ in the last 5 games) would support the over case.
Rice is unlikely to hit a home run if he is in a slump or facing a dominant pitcher with a low home run rate. Historical data shows he averages fewer than 0.5 home runs per game in 80% of appearances.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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