Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: unexpected pitcher injuries
AI updated 6/30/2026, 11:31:45 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 50% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,156,482
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming MLB game between the Chicago White Sox and Baltimore Orioles, scheduled for June 30 at 6:35 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the Chicago White Sox and Baltimore Orioles combine to score 15 or more runs in this game. If the combined total is less than 15, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for the Chicago White Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles game (O/U 14.5 runs) is evenly split, with a 50% probability for both the Over and Under outcomes. The neutral starting point reflects balanced expectations given the teams' offensive profiles and recent performance trends.
The Over case assumes high-scoring offense from both teams, particularly if the White Sox and Orioles leverage their batting lineups against weaker pitching matchups. Historical trends show these teams have averaged 8+ runs per game in recent meetings, supporting a 15+ run total.
The Under case hinges on strong starting pitching or bullpen dominance, which could suppress run production. Weather conditions (e.g., wind, humidity) or defensive errors might also limit scoring, pushing the total below 15 runs.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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