Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Postponement due to weather (rain delays could disrupt early innings)
AI updated 6/28/2026, 6:15:53 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,217,306
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
1d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming MLB game between the Chicago White Sox and Baltimore Orioles, scheduled for June 29 at 6:35 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the Chicago White Sox and Baltimore Orioles combine to score 7 or more runs by the conclusion of the 5th inning. If the combined total is less than 7, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the 5th inning has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for the Chicago White Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles 1st 5 innings Over/Under 6.5 runs is at 50%, indicating a neutral expectation with no clear bias toward either outcome. The game's offensive dynamics and starting pitching matchups are the primary determinants of resolution.
The bull case favors an 'Over' resolution if both teams' high-powered offenses (White Sox rank top 10 in runs per game, Orioles top 5) face weak starting pitchers (e.g., Orioles' Dean Kremer or White Sox's Mike Clevinger struggling early). Weather conditions (e.g., wind assisting home runs) or a favorable run environment (e.g., early home runs) could also push totals above 6.5.
The bear case supports an 'Under' resolution if both teams' starting pitchers dominate early (e.g., White Sox's Dylan Cease or Orioles' Kyle Bradish pitching deep into games with low walk rates). Defensive errors, poor situational hitting, or a cold start to the game (e.g., first 5 innings under 6 runs) would reduce the likelihood of an 'Over' outcome.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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