Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: postponement or cancellation due to weather
AI updated 6/28/2026, 6:00:48 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,215,817
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming MLB game between the Cincinnati Reds and Pittsburgh Pirates, scheduled for June 28 at 1:35 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the Cincinnati Reds and Pittsburgh Pirates combine to score 8 or more runs in this game. If the combined total is less than 8, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for the Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates game (O/U 7.5 runs) is evenly balanced at 50%, indicating no clear consensus on whether the combined score will exceed or fall below 7.5 runs. The neutral probability suggests balanced risk factors and comparable team strengths in this specific matchup.
The bull case argues that both teams have offensive potential, with the Reds' lineup featuring power hitters like Elly De La Cruz and the Pirates' improving young core (e.g., Oneil Cruz, Bryan Reynolds) capable of generating runs. Historical trends show these teams often exceed 7.5 runs in high-scoring games, especially with favorable pitching matchups or favorable weather conditions.
The bear case highlights recent pitching performance and defensive struggles for both teams, with the Pirates ranking near the bottom in runs allowed and the Reds' bullpen being inconsistent. Weather conditions (e.g., high humidity or wind) could suppress scoring, and potential pitcher injuries or managerial decisions (e.g., bullpen usage) may limit offensive output.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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