Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Injury to key players (e.g., Reds' bullpen)
AI updated 6/27/2026, 7:30:19 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 22% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
22%
ORYN Consensus
22%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 18-24
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
5
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming MLB game between the Cincinnati Reds and Pittsburgh Pirates, scheduled for June 27 at 4:05 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cincinnati Reds" if the Cincinnati Reds is winning the game by 3 or more runs at the conclusion of the 5th inning. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Pittsburgh Pirates". If the game is tied at the conclusion of the 5th inning, this market will resolve to "Pittsburgh Pirates". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the 5th inning has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market favors the Pittsburgh Pirates to lead or tie after the 5th inning against the Cincinnati Reds, with a 78.5% implied probability. The Reds' -2.5 run spread suggests a low likelihood of a dominant early-game lead.
The Cincinnati Reds' bullish case relies on strong offensive performance in the first 5 innings, particularly from key hitters like Elly De La Cruz or Matt McLain, and effective pitching from their rotation to build a 3+ run lead. A favorable matchup against Pirates' starter or bullpen could also support this outcome.
The Pittsburgh Pirates' bearish case is supported by their recent offensive struggles and the Reds' home-field advantage, which historically favors higher run production. A strong Pirates bullpen could prevent a Reds lead from extending beyond 2.5 runs by the 5th inning.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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