In the upcoming MLB game between the Cincinnati Reds and Pittsburgh Pirates, scheduled for June 27 at 4:05 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cincinnati Reds" if the Cincinnati Reds is winning the game by 3 or more runs at the conclusion of the 5th inning. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Pittsburgh Pirates". If the game is tied at the conclusion of the 5th inning, this market will resolve to "Pittsburgh Pirates". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the 5th inning has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Key risk: Injury to key players (e.g., Reds' bullpen)
AI updated 6/27/2026, 7:30:19 PM
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
In the upcoming MLB game between the Cincinnati Reds and Pittsburgh Pirates, scheduled for June 27 at 4:05 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cincinnati Reds" if the Cincinnati Reds is winning the game by 3 or more runs at the conclusion of the 5th inning. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Pittsburgh Pirates". If the game is tied at the conclusion of the 5th inning, this market will resolve to "Pittsburgh Pirates". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the 5th inning has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Crowd Consensus
22%
ORYN Consensus
22%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
ORYN is polling its model network — Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — for this market. The consensus and per-model dissent will appear here.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
The prediction market favors the Pittsburgh Pirates to lead or tie after the 5th inning against the Cincinnati Reds, with a 78.5% implied probability. The Reds' -2.5 run spread suggests a low likelihood of a dominant early-game lead.
The Cincinnati Reds' bullish case relies on strong offensive performance in the first 5 innings, particularly from key hitters like Elly De La Cruz or Matt McLain, and effective pitching from their rotation to build a 3+ run lead. A favorable matchup against Pirates' starter or bullpen could also support this outcome.
The Pittsburgh Pirates' bearish case is supported by their recent offensive struggles and the Reds' home-field advantage, which historically favors higher run production. A strong Pirates bullpen could prevent a Reds lead from extending beyond 2.5 runs by the 5th inning.
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1st 5 Innings Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-2.5) is tracked on ORYN with data sourced from polymarket. Current market-implied probability is 21.5% while ORYN AI estimates 21.5%.
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