Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Game postponement or cancellation
Calibrated 100% · raw 200% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 7/1/2026, 5:16:57 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 41% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
52%
Signal Score
+2.0
Opportunity
1.3
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,491,607
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 200.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
21h
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming MLB game between the Cincinnati Reds and Milwaukee Brewers, scheduled for July 2 at 2:10 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the Cincinnati Reds and Milwaukee Brewers combine to score 3 or more runs by the conclusion of the 5th inning. If the combined total is less than 3, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the 5th inning has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for the Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 is currently at 50% probability, indicating a neutral expectation with no clear bias toward Over or Under. The market reflects balanced sentiment due to the low scoring potential in early innings of an MLB game.
The bull case anticipates an Over outcome (3+ runs in 1st 5 innings) due to potential offensive firepower from both teams, particularly if star players (e.g., Christian Yelich, Pete Alonso) are active early. High-leverage innings or a fast-starting team could push the total over 2.5 runs.
The bear case favors an Under outcome (2 or fewer runs) due to MLB's historically low-scoring nature, especially in early innings where pitching tends to dominate. Potential pitcher dominance (e.g., Corbin Burnes, Hunter Greene) or defensive efficiency could suppress runs.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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