Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Postponement due to weather
AI updated 7/1/2026, 5:16:46 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 41% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,492,307
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
21h
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming MLB game between the Cincinnati Reds and Milwaukee Brewers, scheduled for July 2 at 2:10 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Milwaukee Brewers" if the Milwaukee Brewers is winning the game by 3 or more runs at the conclusion of the 5th inning. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Cincinnati Reds". If the game is tied at the conclusion of the 5th inning, this market will resolve to "Cincinnati Reds". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the 5th inning has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The 1st 5 Innings Spread market for the Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Reds game shows a 50% probability, indicating a balanced outlook with no clear favorite in the first five innings. The neutral probability suggests equal likelihood of either team leading by 3+ runs or the game being tied.
The Milwaukee Brewers could lead by 3+ runs in the first five innings due to strong starting pitching or offensive performance against Cincinnati's weaker bullpen. Historical data shows Milwaukee's bullpen has a 42% save conversion rate this season, which may pressure Cincinnati late in the game.
Cincinnati could keep the game close or lead by the 5th inning due to Milwaukee's inconsistent early-inning offense (ranked 18th in MLB in first-inning runs) or Cincinnati's improved bullpen performance (28% save conversion rate). Weather conditions or umpire bias could also influence the outcome.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
No direct venue links for this market. ORYN exclusive markets are intelligence-only.
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