Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: postponement or cancellation due to unforeseen circumstances (e.g., weather, player strike)
Calibrated 100% · raw 200% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 7/1/2026, 5:17:12 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 41% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
48%
Signal Score
-2.0
Opportunity
1.3
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,491,192
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV -200.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
21h
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming MLB game between the Cincinnati Reds and Milwaukee Brewers, scheduled for July 2 at 2:10 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the game goes to extra innings. This market will resolve to "No" if the game is completed without going to extra innings. For the purposes of this market, a game goes to extra innings if play begins in any inning after the scheduled regulation innings for that game, such as the 10th inning in a standard 9-inning MLB game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game ends in a tie before extra innings are played, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for the Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers game going to extra innings is evenly split at 50%, indicating no clear consensus on whether the game will extend beyond regulation. Historical data suggests extra innings occur in approximately 5-7% of MLB games, but this varies by team dynamics and scheduling.
The bull case favors extra innings due to the Reds' recent offensive struggles (ranked bottom 5 in MLB runs scored) and the Brewers' strong pitching rotation (top 10 in ERA), increasing the likelihood of a low-scoring, tied game after 9 innings. Additionally, both teams have a history of close, high-leverage games in their divisional matchups.
The bear case argues against extra innings given the Brewers' above-average scoring (top 10 in runs per game) and the Reds' inconsistent bullpen, which may lead to a decisive outcome in regulation. Weather conditions (e.g., high humidity or wind) and pitcher fatigue could also reduce the probability of a tied game after 9 innings.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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