Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Postponement or cancellation of the game
AI updated 7/2/2026, 1:00:34 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 38% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,656,169
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming MLB game between the Cincinnati Reds and Milwaukee Brewers, scheduled for July 1 at 8:10 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the Cincinnati Reds and Milwaukee Brewers combine to score 13 or more runs in this game. If the combined total is less than 13, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for the Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers game run total (Over/Under 12.5) is currently at 50.00%, indicating a balanced expectation with no clear consensus on the combined runs total. The neutral probability reflects the inherent uncertainty in MLB games, where scoring can vary widely based on factors like pitcher performance and team offensive strength.
The bull case for the Over (13+ runs) assumes a high-scoring game, potentially driven by strong offensive performances from both teams, favorable pitching matchups, or favorable weather conditions (e.g., no rain delays). Historical averages or recent trends where both teams have high-scoring tendencies could also support this scenario.
The bear case for the Under (≤12 runs) assumes a low-scoring, pitcher-dominated game, possibly due to dominant starting pitchers from either team, poor offensive performance, or adverse weather conditions (e.g., cold temperatures or wind affecting scoring). Recent trends of both teams playing tight defense could also contribute to this outcome.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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