Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: bullpen collapse
Calibrated 100% · raw 1500% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/30/2026, 12:30:35 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 47% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
46%
ORYN Consensus
31%
Signal Score
-15.0
Opportunity
10.8
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,967,728
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV -1500.0¢
Entry: 43-48
—
Resolution
7h
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
8 points
In the upcoming MLB game between the Cincinnati Reds and Milwaukee Brewers, scheduled for June 30 at 7:40 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Milwaukee Brewers" if the Milwaukee Brewers is winning the game by 3 or more runs at the conclusion of the 5th inning. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Cincinnati Reds". If the game is tied at the conclusion of the 5th inning, this market will resolve to "Cincinnati Reds". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the 5th inning has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The Milwaukee Brewers are favored to lead by 3+ runs after the first 5 innings with a 30.50% market probability. The outcome depends on early-game performance, pitching matchups, and offensive execution before the midpoint of the contest.
The Brewers' strong bullpen and lineup depth could create a decisive lead by the 5th inning, particularly if their starters perform well against Reds' pitching. Historical trends show Milwaukee often dominates early in games when their ace pitchers are on the mound.
The Reds' home advantage and potential for early offensive bursts could neutralize Milwaukee's favoritism, especially if Cincinnati's bullpen stifles the Brewers in the middle innings. Recent poor away-game performances by Milwaukee increase the risk of falling behind early.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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