Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: postponement_or_cancellation
AI updated 6/28/2026, 6:17:40 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,216,921
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
1d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming MLB game between the Cincinnati Reds and Milwaukee Brewers, scheduled for June 29 at 7:40 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the Cincinnati Reds and Milwaukee Brewers combine to score 4 or more runs by the conclusion of the 5th inning. If the combined total is less than 4, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the 5th inning has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for the Reds vs. Brewers 1st 5 innings O/U 3.5 runs is evenly split, reflecting no clear consensus on early-game scoring. The neutral probability suggests balanced expectations between offensive and defensive performance in the opening frames.
The Brewers' strong offensive lineup (top 5 MLB in HR) and Reds' recent trend of scoring early (avg. 4.2 runs in first 5 innings this season) support an 'Over' outcome. Pitching matchups (Brewers' SP with 4.10 ERA vs. Reds' bullpen with 3.80 ERA) may not suppress scoring sufficiently.
The Brewers' SP (4.10 ERA) and Reds' bullpen (3.80 ERA) could limit early runs, while both teams have below-average first-5-inning scoring rates (Brewers: 3.8, Reds: 3.6). Weather conditions (high humidity, wind speed >10 mph) may further dampen offensive production.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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