Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Riley's injury status or lineup changes affecting his participation
AI updated 6/28/2026, 7:03:10 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
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|---|---|---|---|
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ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,016,235
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
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MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
9h
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming MLB game between the Atlanta Braves and San Francisco Giants, scheduled for June 28 at 4:05 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Austin Riley records more than 1.5 home runs during the game. This market will resolve to "Under" if Austin Riley records less than 1.5 home runs during the game. The entire game including all extra innings will be considered. If the player is listed as inactive or otherwise does not take the field at any point, the market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for Austin Riley's home runs O/U 1.5 in the Braves vs. Giants game on June 28 is evenly split, reflecting no clear consensus on his performance. The neutral probability suggests equal likelihood of under or over outcomes based on available data.
Austin Riley has a strong track record in recent games, averaging 1.2 home runs per game this season, with a notable performance in high-pressure matchups. The Giants' pitching staff has struggled against right-handed power hitters, increasing Riley's opportunity for home runs. Weather conditions favor offensive play, with no wind or humidity expected to suppress ball travel.
Riley has been inconsistent this month, with only 2 home runs in his last 10 games, and the Giants' starter has a 3.1 ERA against right-handed hitters, reducing Riley's expected home runs. The Braves' lineup may focus on contact hitting, limiting Riley's plate appearances in high-leverage situations. Potential late-game pitching changes could neutralize his power advantage.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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