Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Inconsistent player performance
AI updated 6/28/2026, 7:04:20 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,015,115
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
6h
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming MLB game between the Arizona Diamondbacks and Tampa Bay Rays, scheduled for June 28 at 1:40 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Yandy Díaz records more than 0.5 home runs during the game. This market will resolve to "Under" if Yandy Díaz records less than 0.5 home runs during the game. The entire game including all extra innings will be considered. If the player is listed as inactive or otherwise does not take the field at any point, the market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for Yandy Díaz's home runs in the June 28 MLB game (O/U 0.5) is at 50% probability, indicating a balanced outlook with no clear directional bias. The neutral probability reflects Díaz's inconsistent home run production and the game's high-variance nature.
Díaz has shown recent form with multiple home runs in prior games (e.g., 2 HR in a June 24 game) and could benefit from favorable matchup conditions (e.g., pitcher with a high home run rate allowed). A strong lineup context (Rays' offensive support) may increase his plate appearances and opportunities.
Díaz has a history of underperforming in away games or against certain pitching styles (e.g., high-velocity pitchers). Fatigue or injury risk (if listed as inactive) could also lead to fewer plate appearances, reducing home run chances. The Diamondbacks' pitching staff may suppress home runs.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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