Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Postponement or cancellation due to weather
Calibrated 100% · raw 150% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/28/2026, 1:00:29 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
35%
ORYN Consensus
36%
Signal Score
+1.5
Opportunity
1.1
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,109,151
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 150.0¢
Entry: 31-38
—
Resolution
1h
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
12 points
In the upcoming MLB game between the Arizona Diamondbacks and Tampa Bay Rays, scheduled for June 28 at 1:40 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the Arizona Diamondbacks and Tampa Bay Rays combine to score 6 or more runs by the conclusion of the 5th inning. If the combined total is less than 6, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the 5th inning has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for the Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Tampa Bay Rays Over/Under 5.5 runs in the first 5 innings shows a 36% probability of the Over outcome. This suggests a slight lean toward the Under scenario, indicating expectations of a lower-scoring early game.
The Diamondbacks have a strong offense with high run production potential, while the Rays' pitching staff, though solid, may struggle against Arizona's lineup. Weather conditions or early-game strategy could favor higher scoring.
Both teams have efficient pitching staffs that suppress runs, particularly the Rays' bullpen and starters. The game could be a low-scoring pitcher's duel, especially if both teams prioritize early-game defense.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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