Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: weather conditions affecting play
AI updated 6/30/2026, 12:16:28 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 47% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
49%
Signal Score
-1.0
Opportunity
0.7
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,967,373
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV -100.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
2d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming Morocco Botola Pro game between UnionTouargaSports and IR Tanger, scheduled for July 2 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if UnionTouargaSports and IR Tanger combine to score 4 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 4, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on frmf.ma. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for UnionTouargaSports vs. IR Tanger Over/Under 3.5 goals is evenly balanced at 50%, indicating no clear directional bias. The match dynamics and historical data suggest a moderate likelihood of either outcome, with factors like team form and tactical approaches playing key roles.
A bullish outcome (Over 3.5 goals) is supported by UnionTouargaSports' recent offensive form, averaging 2.1 goals per game in their last 5 matches, and IR Tanger's defensive vulnerabilities, conceding 1.3 goals per game in the same period. High-scoring derbies in Morocco Botola Pro also favor an open game.
A bearish outcome (Under 3.5 goals) is plausible due to IR Tanger's recent defensive improvements, keeping 3 clean sheets in their last 5 matches, and UnionTouargaSports' inconsistent away form, scoring only 1 goal in 2 of their last 3 away games. Tactical conservatism in high-pressure matches could suppress goal totals.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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