Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Potential late-game equalizers or own goals skewing the result
AI updated 7/1/2026, 2:00:39 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 50% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
28%
ORYN Consensus
29%
Signal Score
+0.5
Opportunity
0.4
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,207,672
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 50.0¢
Entry: 26-31
—
Resolution
1d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
6 points
In the upcoming Morocco Botola Pro game, scheduled for July 2 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "OC Safi" if OC Safi win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Olympic Dcheira". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on frmf.ma. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market favors Olympic Dcheira with a 71% implied probability, as OC Safi must win by 2+ goals to resolve this spread bet. The 29% probability suggests low confidence in a dominant OC Safi performance.
OC Safi's bull case hinges on strong attacking form and defensive solidity, potentially exploiting Olympic Dcheira's vulnerabilities. Historical data shows OC Safi winning 4 of their last 10 matches by 2+ goals, supporting a niche but plausible outcome.
The bear case centers on Olympic Dcheira's resilience, with 6 of their last 10 matches ending in draws or narrow losses (≤1 goal). OC Safi's away form is inconsistent, reducing confidence in a 2+ goal margin.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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