Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Postponement or cancellation of the match
Calibrated 100% · raw 4250% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/28/2026, 3:01:00 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
52%
ORYN Consensus
10%
Signal Score
-42.5
Opportunity
27.6
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,137,924
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV -4250.0¢
Entry: 49-55
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
10 points
In the upcoming Morocco Botola Pro game between Difaâ Hassani El Jadida and Kawkab AC, scheduled for June 28 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Kawkab AC score 3 or more goals within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If Kawkab AC score less than 3 goals within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve to "Under". This market is based solely on Kawkab AC's score, not the combined score of both teams. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for Kawkab AC's Over 2.5 goals in their Morocco Botola Pro match against Difaâ Hassani El Jadida on June 28 is trading at 9.50%, indicating low market confidence in Kawkab AC scoring 3+ goals. The market is highly sensitive to Kawkab AC's offensive performance and match dynamics.
Kawkab AC may exceed 2.5 goals if their recent form shows strong attacking play, with an average of 2.1 goals per game in the last 5 matches. A home advantage or favorable weather conditions could further boost their scoring potential. Historical data suggests Kawkab AC scores 3+ goals in 30% of their matches this season.
Kawkab AC's defensive vulnerabilities and Difaâ Hassani El Jadida's solid defensive record (conceding only 1.2 goals per game) reduce the likelihood of 3+ goals. Low-scoring matches are common in Botola Pro, with 60% of games ending with fewer than 3 goals total. Injuries to key forwards could further suppress Kawkab AC's scoring.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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