This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Key risk: Revisions to historical temperature data post-resolution deadline
AI updated 6/27/2026, 10:00:14 AM
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Crowd Consensus
4%
ORYN Consensus
4%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
ORYN is polling its model network — Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — for this market. The consensus and per-model dissent will appear here.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
The probability of Miami's lowest temperature on June 27, 2026, falling within the 76-77°F range is currently assessed at 3.90%, indicating a low likelihood based on historical climatological data for late June in Miami.
A bullish scenario could materialize if an early-season heatwave develops over South Florida, driven by persistent high-pressure systems and strong solar insolation, pushing overnight lows into the mid-70s°F. Unseasonably warm sea surface temperatures in the Gulf Stream or Atlantic could also elevate minimum temperatures.
A bearish outcome is more probable given Miami's historical climate norms for late June, where average lows typically range between 75-78°F but rarely dip below 76°F. Cooler-than-average conditions, increased cloud cover, or late-season cold fronts could suppress temperatures outside the target range.
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Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on June 27? is tracked on ORYN with data sourced from polymarket. Current market-implied probability is 3.9% while ORYN AI estimates 3.9%.
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