Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: unexpected_ban_picks
AI updated 7/1/2026, 11:45:35 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 46% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,364,460
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
2d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket quarterfinal 2 match between LYON and FURIA Esports in the Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 3 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "LYON" if LYON win Game 1 against FURIA Esports. This market will resolve to "FURIA Esports" if FURIA Esports win Game 1 against LYON. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for Game 1 between LYON and FURIA Esports in the MSI Upper Bracket Quarterfinal 2 is currently evenly split, with a 50% probability assigned to either team winning. This reflects a highly uncertain matchup with no clear favorite based on current data.
LYON could win Game 1 if they leverage superior drafting, mid-game objective control, or strong individual performances from key players like their top laner or jungler. FURIA’s inconsistent form in recent tournaments may play into LYON’s favor if they capitalize on early mistakes or weak rotations.
FURIA Esports could win Game 1 by exploiting LYON’s potential weaknesses in draft or macro play, especially if they deploy aggressive strategies that disrupt LYON’s comfort zone. LYON’s recent underperformance in international events may also weigh on their chances, increasing FURIA’s odds.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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