Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: match_delay_or_cancellation
AI updated 7/1/2026, 11:46:14 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 46% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,364,155
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
3d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket quarterfinal 1 match between Bilibili Gaming and T1 in the Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 4 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Bilibili Gaming" if Bilibili Gaming win Game 4 against T1. This market will resolve to "T1" if T1 win Game 4 against Bilibili Gaming. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 4 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 4. If Game 4 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 4 Winner is evenly split at 50%, reflecting high uncertainty due to the evenly matched teams and the high stakes of the Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs.
Bilibili Gaming could win Game 4 due to their strong recent form, innovative strategies, and potential fatigue from T1 after a grueling upper bracket run. A victory would validate their underdog status and boost regional morale.
T1 is favored for Game 4 given their historical dominance, experienced roster, and recent playoff success. A loss would be a major upset and could undermine their momentum in the tournament.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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