Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Injuries or suspensions affecting key players
AI updated 7/2/2026, 5:30:29 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 27% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
9%
ORYN Consensus
10%
Signal Score
+1.0
Opportunity
0.8
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
3,271,855
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 100.0¢
Entry: 6-12
—
Resolution
1d
Decision snapshots
1
Price history
29 points
In the upcoming K-League game, scheduled for July 5 at 6:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "FC Seoul" if FC Seoul win the game by 3 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Incheon United FC". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on kleague.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for FC Seoul (-2.5) against Incheon United FC in the K-League game on July 5 reflects a low-probability outcome favoring a 3+ goal victory for FC Seoul. The market suggests significant uncertainty or underdog positioning for FC Seoul's odds.
FC Seoul could achieve a 3+ goal margin if they dominate possession, convert scoring chances efficiently, or exploit defensive vulnerabilities in Incheon United FC. A strong home advantage (FC Seoul's home stadium) and recent form trends favoring Seoul may support this outcome.
Incheon United FC may prevent a 3+ goal loss through defensive resilience, tactical discipline, or counterattacking opportunities. Historical head-to-head results or Incheon's away form could mitigate FC Seoul's offensive pressure, leading to a closer match.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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