In the upcoming game, scheduled for July 11, 2026 If the game ends in a draw within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Key risk: postponement_or_cancellation
Calibrated 100% · raw 200% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/27/2026, 9:16:58 PM
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
In the upcoming game, scheduled for July 11, 2026 If the game ends in a draw within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
52%
Signal Score
+2.0
Opportunity
1.2
ORYN is polling its model network — Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — for this market. The consensus and per-model dissent will appear here.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
The prediction market for a draw at halftime in the Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995 match on July 11, 2026, stands at 50%, indicating a balanced expectation. The outcome is highly dependent on in-game dynamics within the first 45 minutes, with no clear favorite.
A halftime draw is plausible given the competitive nature of K League 2 matches, where both teams may prioritize defensive stability early. Historical draw rates in this league (~30-35%) support the possibility, especially if the match starts cautiously.
Early dominance by either team could reduce the likelihood of a draw at halftime, as aggressive tactics often lead to goals. Weather conditions, referee decisions, or unexpected tactical shifts may also skew the result away from a draw.
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Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995: Draw at halftime? is tracked on ORYN with data sourced from polymarket. Current market-implied probability is 50% while ORYN AI estimates 52%.
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