Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Injuries or suspensions impacting key players before kickoff
Calibrated 100% · raw 200% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/28/2026, 9:16:20 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
52%
Signal Score
+2.0
Opportunity
1.3
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,280,634
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 200.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
13d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming K-League game between Jeju SK FC and Daejeon Hana Citizen FC, scheduled for July 12, 2026 at 6:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Jeju SK FC" if Jeju SK FC score more goals than Daejeon Hana Citizen FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Jeju SK FC and Daejeon Hana Citizen FC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Daejeon Hana Citizen FC" if Daejeon Hana Citizen FC score more goals than Jeju SK FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for a second-half draw between Jeju SK FC and Daejeon Hana Citizen FC on July 12, 2026, stands at 50%, indicating balanced expectations. Historical second-half performance and team form are the primary determinants, with no clear advantage for either side.
Jeju SK FC may dominate the second half due to superior attacking midfielders or defensive lapses from Daejeon Hana Citizen FC. A strong second-half performance could see Jeju SK FC secure a win, aligning with their recent trend of late-game goals.
Daejeon Hana Citizen FC could exploit Jeju SK FC's defensive weaknesses in the second half, particularly if Jeju SK FC's starting lineup lacks fitness or cohesion. Daejeon's counter-attacking style might capitalize on tired defenders, leading to a non-draw outcome.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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