Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: match_cancellation_delay
AI updated 6/28/2026, 5:47:44 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
963,007
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
7d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Eva Vedder and Elena Micic in the ITF Palma Del Rio, originally scheduled for June 28, 2026 at 3:45PM ET. This market will resolve to “Vedder” if Eva Vedder wins the first set. It will resolve to “Micic” if Elena Micic wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF match statistics.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for the first set winner between Eva Vedder and Elena Micic is evenly split at 50%, reflecting no clear favorite based on current data. The outcome hinges on pre-match form, head-to-head dynamics, and in-match performance.
Vedder’s bull case rests on her recent clay-court performance, where she has shown improved baseline consistency and serve reliability. A strong serve and aggressive net play could tilt the first set in her favor, especially if Micic struggles with movement on slower courts.
Micic’s bear case assumes her superior all-court game and experience in tight sets will overcome Vedder’s improvements. If Micic’s return game and defensive skills neutralize Vedder’s strengths, she could dominate the first set, particularly under pressure.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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