Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Match cancellation or walkover scenarios
Calibrated 100% · raw 1000% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 7/2/2026, 8:30:25 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 32% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
46%
ORYN Consensus
56%
Signal Score
+10.0
Opportunity
7.5
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,763,687
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 1000.0¢
Entry: 43-48
—
Resolution
6d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
5 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Emilija Tverijonaite and Stefania Bojica in the ITF Women Mogyorod, originally scheduled for July 2, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Emilija Tverijonaite' if Emilija Tverijonaite advances against Stefania Bojica. This market will resolve to 'Stefania Bojica' if Stefania Bojica advances against Emilija Tverijonaite. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market favors Emilija Tverijonaite with a 55.50% probability in her ITF Women's Mogyorod match against Stefania Bojica. The resolution hinges on direct on-court performance, with minimal influence from external factors given the specific match rules.
Emilija Tverijonaite is perceived as the stronger player in this matchup, likely due to recent form, head-to-head records, or seeding. Her probability reflects a slight edge in player strength or surface familiarity, particularly if the match is played on a hard court where she may have an advantage.
Stefania Bojica could be undervalued if she has a strong recent performance record, underdog status with potential for upsets, or if Emilija Tverijonaite is dealing with injuries or fatigue. External factors like weather conditions or referee bias also pose minor risks.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
Route to regulated venues when you are ready. ORYN never holds your funds.
ORYN does not hold funds or execute trades. You will be redirected to a third-party regulated venue.
No comments yet.