Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: lack_of_public_data
AI updated 6/29/2026, 10:16:24 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,684,959
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
HIGH
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
7d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Kosuke Ogura and Sanhui Shin in the ITF Men Tokyo, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kosuke Ogura' if Kosuke Ogura advances against Sanhui Shin. This market will resolve to 'Sanhui Shin' if Sanhui Shin advances against Kosuke Ogura. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for the ITF Tokyo match between Kosuke Ogura and Sanhui Shin is evenly split at 50%, indicating high uncertainty due to limited available data on both players' recent form, rankings, or head-to-head history.
Kosuke Ogura could win if he demonstrates superior clay-court experience or form in the lead-up to the match, potentially leveraging home advantage or recent tournament success to outperform Sanhui Shin.
Sanhui Shin may prevail if he is ranked higher, has a better recent performance record, or if Ogura struggles with fatigue or injury, leading to a straight-sets victory or a walkover.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
No direct venue links for this market. ORYN exclusive markets are intelligence-only.
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