Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Unexpected player withdrawal or injury
AI updated 7/2/2026, 1:45:29 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 21% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
91%
ORYN Consensus
91%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 88-94
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
1
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Gabriele Maria Noce and Stijn Paardekooper in the ITF Men Amstelveen, originally scheduled for July 2, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Gabriele Maria Noce' if Gabriele Maria Noce advances against Stijn Paardekooper. This market will resolve to 'Stijn Paardekooper' if Stijn Paardekooper advances against Gabriele Maria Noce. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market heavily favors Gabriele Maria Noce (90.5%) against Stijn Paardekooper in the ITF Men Amstelveen match, indicating strong confidence in Noce's victory. The market's structure accounts for various match resolutions, including walkovers or cancellations, with default outcomes clearly defined.
Gabriele Maria Noce is favored due to superior recent form, higher ATP ranking, or stronger head-to-head record against Paardekooper. Noce's aggressive playing style or surface adaptability may also contribute to the high probability. External factors like Paardekooper's potential fatigue or injuries could further tilt the odds.
Stijn Paardekooper may overcome the odds if Noce faces unexpected circumstances (e.g., injury, personal issues) or if Paardekooper demonstrates a sudden performance surge. Upsets in lower-tier ITF matches are not uncommon, and Paardekooper's experience in similar tournaments could play a role. External conditions like weather disruptions may also favor Paardekooper.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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