Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: match_cancellation_or_delay
Calibrated 100% · raw 150% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 7/1/2026, 5:30:30 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 50% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
57%
ORYN Consensus
56%
Signal Score
-1.5
Opportunity
1.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,274,469
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV -150.0¢
Entry: 54-60
—
Resolution
6d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
12 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Zhibek Kulambayeva and Tilwith Di Girolami in the ITF Women Amstelveen, originally scheduled for July 1, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Zhibek Kulambayeva' if Zhibek Kulambayeva advances against Tilwith Di Girolami. This market will resolve to 'Tilwith Di Girolami' if Tilwith Di Girolami advances against Zhibek Kulambayeva. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market favors Zhibek Kulambayeva (57%) in the ITF Amstelveen match against Tilwith Di Girolami, likely reflecting perceived slight dominance or recent form. The 43% implied probability for Di Girolami suggests non-negligible uncertainty, possibly due to matchup dynamics or external factors.
Zhibek Kulambayeva's 57% probability may reflect stronger recent performance, higher ranking, or favorable surface adaptation (e.g., clay or hard court). A potential bullish driver could be her aggressive baseline playstyle exploiting Di Girolami's defensive weaknesses, leading to a straight-sets victory.
Tilwith Di Girolami's 43% implied probability may stem from her tactical versatility or Kulambayeva's vulnerability to serve-and-volley players. A bearish outcome could arise if Di Girolami's all-court game disrupts Kulambayeva's rhythm, resulting in an upset or a tight three-set match.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
Route to regulated venues when you are ready. ORYN never holds your funds.
ORYN does not hold funds or execute trades. You will be redirected to a third-party regulated venue.
No comments yet.