Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: match cancellation or delay beyond resolution window
Calibrated 100% · raw 1000% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 7/2/2026, 5:15:43 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 37% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
45%
ORYN Consensus
55%
Signal Score
+10.0
Opportunity
7.5
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,697,105
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 1000.0¢
Entry: 42-48
—
Resolution
7d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
8 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Anna Kubareva and Hina Inoue in the ITF Women Elvas, originally scheduled for July 2, 2026 at 3:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Anna Kubareva' if Anna Kubareva advances against Hina Inoue. This market will resolve to 'Hina Inoue' if Hina Inoue advances against Anna Kubareva. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The ITF Elvas tennis match between Anna Kubareva and Hina Inoue has a current market probability of 45.00% for Kubareva's victory. The match is scheduled for July 2, 2026, with resolution criteria favoring either player's advancement or a 50-50 outcome in case of cancellation or walkover.
Anna Kubareva's 45% probability may reflect perceived strengths such as higher ranking, recent form, or head-to-head dominance against Hina Inoue. If Kubareva has a strong serve or clay-court proficiency (assuming Elvas' surface), bettors may favor her progression.
Hina Inoue's 55% implied probability (100% - 45%) suggests bettors favor her advancement, possibly due to Kubareva's injury concerns, inconsistent performance, or Inoue's home advantage (if Elvas is in Japan). A walkover or retirement could also skew outcomes.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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