Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Match cancellation or walkover (50-50 resolution)
AI updated 7/1/2026, 11:15:54 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 41% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
81%
ORYN Consensus
81%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,602,944
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 78-84
—
Resolution
7d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Yasmine Kabbaj and Sofia Shapatava in the ITF Women Aix-Les-Bains, originally scheduled for July 2, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yasmine Kabbaj' if Yasmine Kabbaj advances against Sofia Shapatava. This market will resolve to 'Sofia Shapatava' if Sofia Shapatava advances against Yasmine Kabbaj. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market strongly favors Yasmine Kabbaj (80.5%) over Sofia Shapatava in their ITF Women's Aix-Les-Bains match, suggesting a high confidence in Kabbaj's advancement. The resolution criteria are clearly defined, with defaults leading to 50-50 outcomes.
Yasmine Kabbaj's dominance in recent form, higher ranking, and home-court advantage (if applicable) significantly increase her probability of winning. Strong grass-court or hard-court performance history (Aix-Les-Bains typically uses clay) may further support her case.
Sofia Shapatava's experience in ITF tournaments, potential underdog resilience, or Kabbaj's injury/absence risks could shift the outcome. External factors like weather delays or walkovers may also trigger a 50-50 resolution.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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