Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: match_cancellation
AI updated 6/28/2026, 8:00:39 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
67%
ORYN Consensus
67%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,014,275
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 64-70
—
Resolution
7d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
3 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Spencer Johnson and Sasha Rozin in the ITF Men Claremont, originally scheduled for June 28, 2026 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Spencer Johnson' if Spencer Johnson advances against Sasha Rozin. This market will resolve to 'Sasha Rozin' if Sasha Rozin advances against Spencer Johnson. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market favors Spencer Johnson (67%) in the ITF Men Claremont match against Sasha Rozin, likely due to Johnson's higher ranking, recent form, or head-to-head dominance. The 33% implied probability for Rozin suggests some uncertainty or underdog appeal.
Spencer Johnson's bull case hinges on his superior ranking (likely top 200), recent strong performances, or Rozin's injury concerns. A dominant serve-and-volley game or Rozin's fatigue from prior matches could further favor Johnson.
Sasha Rozin's bear case may rely on his higher ranking (top 150) or Johnson's vulnerability on clay courts (if applicable). Rozin's aggressive baseline play or Johnson's potential underperformance could swing the market.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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