Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Unexpected player withdrawal or default
Calibrated 100% · raw 350% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 7/1/2026, 5:15:43 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 50% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
88%
ORYN Consensus
92%
Signal Score
+3.5
Opportunity
3.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,274,469
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 350.0¢
Entry: 85-91
—
Resolution
7d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
5 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Nao Hibino and Iveta Dapkute in the ITF Women Elvas, originally scheduled for July 1, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nao Hibino' if Nao Hibino advances against Iveta Dapkute. This market will resolve to 'Iveta Dapkute' if Iveta Dapkute advances against Nao Hibino. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market heavily favors Nao Hibino (91.5%) to advance over Iveta Dapkute in the ITF Women Elvas match. This reflects a strong consensus on Hibino's superior form and historical performance.
Nao Hibino's dominance in ITF tournaments, her higher ranking, and strong recent performances (e.g., consistent top-200 finishes) support her as the likely winner. Dapkute's lower ranking and lack of recent high-level success further bolster Hibino's odds.
Iveta Dapkute could pull off an upset if Hibino underperforms due to fatigue, injury, or unexpected form slump. External factors like weather conditions or referee decisions might also disrupt Hibino's expected path to victory.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
Route to regulated venues when you are ready. ORYN never holds your funds.
ORYN does not hold funds or execute trades. You will be redirected to a third-party regulated venue.
No comments yet.