Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Unexpected match cancellation or walkover
Calibrated 100% · raw 150% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 7/1/2026, 8:00:41 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 47% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
93%
ORYN Consensus
91%
Signal Score
-1.5
Opportunity
1.4
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,307,949
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV -150.0¢
Entry: 90-96
—
Resolution
7d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
11 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Lucie Havlickova and Maria Garcia in the ITF Women Elvas, originally scheduled for July 1, 2026 at 4:15PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lucie Havlickova' if Lucie Havlickova advances against Maria Garcia. This market will resolve to 'Maria Garcia' if Maria Garcia advances against Lucie Havlickova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market heavily favors Lucie Havlickova (92.5%) to win her ITF Women's Elvas match against Maria Garcia, indicating strong market confidence in her victory. This reflects her likely superior form, rankings, or head-to-head record against Garcia.
Lucie Havlickova is the overwhelming favorite due to her higher ranking, recent performance, and home-court advantage (Elvas is in Portugal, Havlickova's likely home country). Garcia may struggle with travel fatigue or lack of preparation, making a Havlickova win highly probable.
Maria Garcia could pull off an upset if Havlickova underperforms, suffers an injury, or faces unexpected challenges like unfavorable weather conditions. Garcia's aggressive playstyle or superior clay-court experience might also tilt the odds in her favor.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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