Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Match cancellation or postponement beyond resolution window
Calibrated 100% · raw 8200% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/27/2026, 9:00:47 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 24% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
9%
ORYN Consensus
91%
Signal Score
+82.0
Opportunity
69.7
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 8200.0¢
Entry: 6-12
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
10
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Weronika Ewald and Gina Feistel in the ITF Women Gdansk, originally scheduled for June 27, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Weronika Ewald' if Weronika Ewald advances against Gina Feistel. This market will resolve to 'Gina Feistel' if Gina Feistel advances against Weronika Ewald. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for ITF Gdansk: Weronika Ewald vs Gina Feistel currently shows a 9% probability for Weronika Ewald to advance, indicating a strong underdog status for Ewald against Feistel. The low probability suggests market expectations favor Feistel's victory.
Weronika Ewald's bull case hinges on potential upsets, form fluctuations, or Feistel's injury concerns. If Ewald demonstrates superior recent performance or Feistel underperforms, the market may shift in her favor. External factors like weather conditions or tactical adjustments could also play a role.
Gina Feistel's bear case is minimal given the current market probability, but potential upsets from lower-ranked players or unexpected retirements could shift sentiment. If Feistel faces fatigue or injury, the market might adjust downward. However, the 9% probability suggests limited bearish risk.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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