Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Match cancellation or postponement due to unforeseen circumstances
Calibrated 100% · raw 3550% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 7/1/2026, 5:15:38 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 50% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
23%
ORYN Consensus
58%
Signal Score
+35.5
Opportunity
23.1
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,274,469
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 3550.0¢
Entry: 20-26
—
Resolution
7d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
15 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Sara Cakarevic and Giorgia Pedone in the ITF Women Amstelveen, originally scheduled for July 1, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sara Cakarevic' if Sara Cakarevic advances against Giorgia Pedone. This market will resolve to 'Giorgia Pedone' if Giorgia Pedone advances against Sara Cakarevic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market favors Sara Cakarevic with a 58% probability to advance against Giorgia Pedone in the ITF Women's Amstelveen match on July 1, 2026. The resolution hinges on standard tennis match outcomes, with specific rules for cancellations, walkovers, or incomplete matches.
Sara Cakarevic's higher market probability suggests perceived strengths in form, surface adaptability, or head-to-head dominance over Giorgia Pedone. Potential factors include Pedone's injury history, recent performance trends, or Cakarevic's clay court proficiency if the match is played on clay.
Giorgia Pedone's lower probability does not preclude an upset, especially if she has shown recent improvement or Cakarevic is affected by fatigue, injury, or motivational factors. External variables like weather conditions or officiating could also disrupt the expected outcome.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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