Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Price manipulation risks in a low-liquidity, short-term market
Calibrated 100% · raw 5000% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 7/1/2026, 5:01:50 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 41% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
100%
Signal Score
+50.0
Opportunity
32.5
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,490,020
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 5000.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
20h
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Hyperliquid price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the HYPE/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/hype-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream HYPE/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The Hyperliquid (HYPE/USD) price prediction market for July 2, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET shows a neutral 50% probability of the price being 'Up' or 'Down' at resolution. The market hinges on a 5-minute window, making it highly sensitive to short-term volatility.
A bullish outcome ('Up') could occur if Hyperliquid's price experiences a sudden surge due to positive sentiment in AI-related tokens, increased trading activity, or a favorable macroeconomic catalyst during the 5-minute window. Technical breakouts or high-volume buy orders might also drive the price higher.
A bearish outcome ('Down') could materialize if Hyperliquid's price drops due to profit-taking, negative AI sector news, or broader market downturns during the 5-minute window. Low liquidity or sell pressure in thin markets could exacerbate the decline.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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