Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Potential discrepancies between Chainlink's HYPE/USD and other price sources
AI updated 6/29/2026, 9:17:19 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,684,637
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
19h
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Hyperliquid price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the HYPE/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/hype-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream HYPE/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The Hyperliquid (HYPE/USD) prediction market shows a 50% probability of an 'Up' resolution by June 30, 5:10 PM ET, indicating balanced expectations. The market hinges on Chainlink's HYPE/USD data stream, which may introduce slight deviations compared to other spot markets.
An 'Up' resolution could occur if Chainlink's HYPE/USD data stream reflects positive momentum in Hyperliquid's price due to increased trading volume, bullish sentiment in AI-related crypto markets, or broader crypto market rallies. Technical breakouts or positive news around Hyperliquid's ecosystem may also drive prices higher.
A 'Down' resolution is plausible if Chainlink's HYPE/USD data stream shows a decline in Hyperliquid's price due to profit-taking, negative sentiment in AI crypto markets, or broader market downturns. Regulatory concerns or technical issues with the Chainlink data stream could also contribute to a bearish outcome.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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