Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Oracle failure or delay in Chainlink's HYPE/USD stream
Calibrated 100% · raw 3000% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/29/2026, 3:00:41 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
80%
Signal Score
+30.0
Opportunity
19.5
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,385,442
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 3000.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Hyperliquid price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the HYPE/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/hype-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream HYPE/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The Hyperliquid price prediction market for June 28 (11:00PM-11:15PM ET) shows a 50% probability of an 'Up' movement, indicating a neutral outlook. The market hinges on Chainlink's HYPE/USD data stream, which may introduce volatility due to its reliance on a single oracle source.
A bullish outcome could result from positive sentiment in AI-related assets or a sudden surge in Hyperliquid trading volume. If Chainlink's HYPE/USD stream reflects a brief upward trend during the 15-minute window, the market would resolve to 'Up'.
A bearish outcome may occur if Hyperliquid's price declines or remains flat during the specified window, potentially driven by low liquidity or negative macroeconomic news. The 50% probability suggests no clear directional bias, but external shocks could tip the balance.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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