Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Match cancellation or delay beyond 7 days
AI updated 7/1/2026, 1:16:12 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 46% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,423,816
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
2d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the Honor of Kings match between LT Gaming and Mighty Tiger Gaming in the KPL Growth League Group Stage, initially scheduled for July 4 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "LT Gaming" if LT Gaming win Game 4 against Mighty Tiger Gaming. This market will resolve to "Mighty Tiger Gaming" if Mighty Tiger Gaming win Game 4 against LT Gaming. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 4 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 4. If Game 4 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://liquipedia.net/honorofkings/Main_Page. However, if https://liquipedia.net/honorofkings/Main_Page has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for Game 4 between LT Gaming and Mighty Tiger Gaming in the KPL Growth League Group Stage shows a 50.00% probability for either team to win, indicating a balanced outlook with no clear favorite. The resolution criteria favor a 50-50 outcome if the match is incomplete or canceled.
LT Gaming has a strong chance to win Game 4 due to their historical performance in the KPL Growth League, with a potential underdog narrative if Mighty Tiger Gaming is favored. Recent form and player synergies could tilt the odds in LT Gaming's favor.
Mighty Tiger Gaming may be the slight favorite given their consistency in the league, with LT Gaming facing potential strategic or roster weaknesses. External factors like player fatigue or unexpected meta shifts could favor Mighty Tiger Gaming.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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