Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: match_cancellation_delay
AI updated 7/1/2026, 1:15:36 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 46% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,424,241
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
2d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the Honor of Kings match between JLY and WanZhen Esports Club in the KPL Growth League Group Stage, initially scheduled for July 4 at 1:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "JLY" if JLY win Game 4 against WanZhen Esports Club. This market will resolve to "WanZhen Esports Club" if WanZhen Esports Club win Game 4 against JLY. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 4 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 4. If Game 4 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://liquipedia.net/honorofkings/Main_Page. However, if https://liquipedia.net/honorofkings/Main_Page has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for Game 4 between JLY and WanZhen Esports Club in the KPL Growth League Group Stage is evenly split at 50%, reflecting high uncertainty due to lack of recent form data or head-to-head dominance. No clear favorite emerges from available information.
JLY could win if they leverage superior late-game mechanics or individual player performances, particularly if WanZhen struggles with coordination under pressure. Recent meta-adaptation or strategic adjustments by JLY may tilt odds in their favor.
WanZhen Esports Club may prevail if they exploit JLY’s weaknesses in early-game laning or objective control, or if JLY’s star player is absent. Historical underperformance in clutch situations could favor WanZhen.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
No direct venue links for this market. ORYN exclusive markets are intelligence-only.
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