This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Key risk: Late-season cold snap or unusual weather anomalies
AI updated 6/26/2026, 2:48:48 PM
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
ORYN is polling its model network — Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — for this market. The consensus and per-model dissent will appear here.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
The market reflects a 50% probability that Zhengzhou's highest temperature on May 21, 2026, will reach at least 32°C. This suggests a balanced expectation with no clear consensus on extreme heat conditions for the date.
A bullish scenario could unfold if a strong high-pressure system settles over Zhengzhou, leading to clear skies, minimal cloud cover, and dry conditions. This would maximize solar heating, pushing temperatures toward or above 32°C.
A bearish outcome is plausible if persistent cloud cover, rainfall, or a weak high-pressure system limits solar heating. Cooler air masses or monsoon influences could suppress temperatures below 32°C.
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Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 32°C on May 21? is tracked on ORYN with data sourced from polymarket. Current market-implied probability is 50% while ORYN AI estimates 50%.
ORYN aggregates forecasting intelligence across Asia-focused categories including crypto, AI, cricket, startups, and global events.
