This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Key risk: data revisions from Wunderground
AI updated 6/27/2026, 10:30:40 AM
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Crowd Consensus
13%
ORYN Consensus
11%
Signal Score
-1.5
Opportunity
1.3
ORYN is polling its model network — Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — for this market. The consensus and per-model dissent will appear here.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
The prediction market suggests a low probability (11%) that Munich's highest temperature on June 29, 2026, will reach 27°C, indicating cooler-than-average expectations for late June. Historical climate data for Munich in late June typically ranges between 18-25°C, with 27°C being an outlier.
A bullish scenario could emerge if a strong high-pressure system or heatwave affects central Europe in late June 2026, pushing temperatures significantly above seasonal norms. Unusually warm air masses from southern Europe or Saharan regions could drive the mercury to 27°C or higher.
A bearish outcome is more likely given Munich's historical climate patterns, where late June temperatures rarely exceed 25°C. Persistent cloud cover, Atlantic low-pressure systems, or unseasonal rainfall could suppress temperatures below 27°C.
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Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on June 29? is tracked on ORYN with data sourced from polymarket. Current market-implied probability is 12.5% while ORYN AI estimates 11%.
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