This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Key risk: data revisions from Wunderground after initial publication
AI updated 6/27/2026, 2:00:32 AM
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Crowd Consensus
33%
ORYN Consensus
32%
Signal Score
-1.0
Opportunity
0.8
ORYN is polling its model network — Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — for this market. The consensus and per-model dissent will appear here.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
The market assigns a 33% probability that Milan's highest temperature on June 28, 2026, will reach exactly 36°C. Historical data and seasonal trends suggest this is plausible but not guaranteed, with uncertainty driven by variable weather patterns.
A strong high-pressure system over Southern Europe could bring prolonged heatwave conditions, pushing temperatures in Milan to 36°C or higher. Early seasonal warming trends and urban heat island effects may also contribute to elevated readings.
Cooler-than-average Atlantic air masses or persistent cloud cover could suppress temperatures below 36°C. Unseasonable rainfall or wind patterns from the north may further reduce peak temperatures, aligning with cooler historical averages.
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Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on June 28? is tracked on ORYN with data sourced from polymarket. Current market-implied probability is 33% while ORYN AI estimates 32%.
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