This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Key risk: uncertainty in long-range weather forecasting
AI updated 6/27/2026, 9:30:32 AM
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Crowd Consensus
24%
ORYN Consensus
22%
Signal Score
-1.5
Opportunity
1.1
ORYN is polling its model network — Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — for this market. The consensus and per-model dissent will appear here.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
The prediction market indicates a 23.5% probability that Miami's highest temperature on June 28, 2026, will fall within the 92-93°F range. This low probability suggests skepticism about extreme heat occurring on that specific date.
Historical data shows Miami frequently experiences temperatures in the 92-93°F range during late June, with climate trends indicating increasing heatwaves. A strong high-pressure system or delayed sea breeze could push temperatures into this range.
Late June in Miami often sees temperatures below 92°F due to seasonal averages and potential cloud cover or rain. A tropical disturbance or early-season cold front could suppress temperatures further.
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Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 28? is tracked on ORYN with data sourced from polymarket. Current market-implied probability is 23.5% while ORYN AI estimates 22%.
ORYN aggregates forecasting intelligence across Asia-focused categories including crypto, AI, cricket, startups, and global events.
